資源與能源季刊2017年12月Resources and Energy Quarterly December 2017
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- 更新時(shí)間:2021-09-09
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資料簡(jiǎn)介
自2017年9月的《資源與能源季刊》以來(lái),澳大利亞2017 - 18年的資源與能源出口收益預(yù)測(cè)值被上調(diào)了33億美元(1.6%),至2140億美元。對(duì)2018 - 2019年的展望略有下調(diào),下調(diào)幅度為14億美元(0.7%),至2000億美元。2017-18年度的向上修正主要反映出鐵礦石、動(dòng)力煤和冶金煤價(jià)格高于此前的預(yù)期。尤其是鐵礦石價(jià)格,其漲幅遠(yuǎn)高于此前預(yù)期。不過(guò),到2018 - 2019年,鐵礦石價(jià)格仍將下跌。對(duì)氧化鋁、黃金和液化天然氣出口預(yù)測(cè)的小幅向下修正,在一定程度上抵消了向上修正的影響。對(duì)2018-19年鐵礦石出口量的向下修正,是導(dǎo)致出口收入向下修正的主要原因。對(duì)出口量的修正反映了鐵礦石生產(chǎn)商新的生產(chǎn)指引。
Since the September 2017 Resources and Energy Quarterly, the forecast value of Australia’s resources and energy export earnings in 2017–18 has been revised up by $3.3 billion (1.6 per cent) to $214 billion. The outlook for 2018–19 has been revised down slightly, by $1.4 billion (0.7 per cent) to $200 billion. The upward revision for 2017–18 primarily reflects higher than previously forecast iron ore, thermal coal and metallurgical coal prices. The iron ore price in particular has held up much more than previously anticipated. Nonetheless, the outlook still remains for declining iron ore prices into 2018–19. Partially offsetting these upward revisions were minor downward revisions to forecast export earnings for alumina, gold and LNG. A downward revision to iron ore export volumes in 2018–19 is the primary driver for the downward revision to export earnings. The revision to export volumes reflects new production guidance from iron ore producers.
資料截圖
上一條:比較天然氣行業(yè)減少甲烷排放的政策Comparing Policies to Reduce Methane Emissions in the Natural Gas Sector in2017
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